November 2025 was our first month in market, and the early read was broadly encouraging. We placed 39 bets across 10 leagues and 70 teams using a flat 1% unit size tied to the current bankroll, and finished with a profit of $115.73. The hit rate landed at 43.6%, which is a useful reminder that strike rate and profitability do not always move together in a neat line. In a small sample, price and edge selection can matter more than simple “wins versus losses”, and variance still has plenty of room to speak.
A couple of signals stood out without being over-interpreted. BTTS YES was our best performing bet type at 66.7% (2/3), which fits the idea that goal-based markets can sometimes offer clearer model-to-market gaps than match odds, even if liquidity and pricing discipline vary by league. The Eredivisie also performed well at 66.7% across three bets, hinting that our numbers may be closer to the league’s scoring tendencies and tempo than the market in certain spots. The main lesson from November is to keep the process steady: treat these as early indicators, not conclusions, and continue tracking performance by market and league so any genuine edge has time to separate itself from noise.
A couple of signals stood out without being over-interpreted. BTTS YES was our best performing bet type at 66.7% (2/3), which fits the idea that goal-based markets can sometimes offer clearer model-to-market gaps than match odds, even if liquidity and pricing discipline vary by league. The Eredivisie also performed well at 66.7% across three bets, hinting that our numbers may be closer to the league’s scoring tendencies and tempo than the market in certain spots. The main lesson from November is to keep the process steady: treat these as early indicators, not conclusions, and continue tracking performance by market and league so any genuine edge has time to separate itself from noise.
Key Statistics
Performance overview for November 2025
BEST LEAGUE
Eredivisie
Netherlands
66.7%
hit rate
2/3 bets
PROFIT
+$115.73
Profit for the month
HIT RATE
43.6%
17/39 bets won
BEST BET TYPE
BTTS_YES
66.7%
2/3
COVERAGE
10
leagues
70
teams
All Bets
Complete record of placed bets for this month
Nov 30, 16:00
Haugesund vs Bryne
1 @ 3.55
Lost
$-10.25
Nov 30, 16:30
Chelsea vs Arsenal
2 @ 2.55
Lost
$-10.15
Nov 30, 16:00
Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde
2 @ 2.69
Lost
$-10.05
Nov 30, 18:30
SC Freiburg vs FSV Mainz 05
X @ 3.88
Lost
$-9.95
Nov 30, 12:00
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United
2 @ 3.56
Won
+$25.22
Nov 30, 15:15
Sevilla vs Real Betis
2 @ 2.81
Won
+$17.65
Nov 30, 13:30
Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Utrecht
X @ 3.70
Won
+$26.06
Nov 30, 14:05
West Ham United vs Liverpool
2 @ 1.69
Won
+$6.60
Nov 29, 15:00
Sunderland vs AFC Bournemouth
1 @ 3.29
Won
+$23.24
Nov 29, 17:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund
1 @ 2.78
Lost
$-10.05
Nov 29, 14:00
Pescara vs Calcio Padova
1 @ 3.46
Lost
$-9.95
Nov 29, 18:00
Paris vs Auxerre
1 @ 1.94
Lost
$-9.85
Nov 29, 12:30
Leicester City vs Sheffield United
1 @ 2.45
Lost
$-9.75
Nov 29, 15:30
Excelsior vs NAC Breda
1 @ 2.50
Won
+$14.49
Nov 29, 15:00
Sheffield Wednesday vs Preston North End
2 @ 2.23
Won
+$11.76
Nov 28, 18:00
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs Viborg FF
2 @ 3.11
Lost
$-10.02
Nov 28, 19:30
Cesena vs Modena
1 @ 3.30
Won
+$22.82
Nov 26, 20:00
West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City
1 @ 3.00
Lost
$-9.89
Nov 26, 19:45
Blackburn Rovers vs Queens Park Rangers
2 @ 3.43
Won
+$23.79
Nov 25, 19:45
Swansea City vs Derby County
2 @ 3.75
Won
+$26.43
Nov 25, 19:45
Swansea City vs Derby County
BTTS_YES @ 2.25
Won
+$11.90
Nov 25, 19:45
Watford vs Preston North End
BTTS_YES @ 2.11
Won
+$10.46
Nov 24, 18:00
Randers FC vs Odense BK
2 @ 3.30
Lost
$-9.63
Nov 24, 19:30
Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia
1 @ 2.82
Won
+$17.34
Nov 24, 18:00
Randers FC vs Odense BK
X @ 3.60
Won
+$24.54
Nov 23, 14:00
Leeds United vs Aston Villa
1 @ 3.50
Lost
$-9.74
Nov 23, 13:30
Telstar vs FC Utrecht
1 @ 3.97
Lost
$-9.64
Nov 23, 16:15
Nantes vs Lorient
1 @ 3.09
Lost
$-9.54
Nov 23, 15:00
Aberdeen vs Hearts
1 @ 3.90
Won
+$27.41
Nov 23, 16:30
St. Pauli vs FC Union Berlin
BTTS_YES @ 2.10
Lost
$-9.35
Nov 22, 17:00
Molde vs Brann
1 @ 3.24
Won
+$22.18
Nov 22, 15:00
Portsmouth vs Millwall
2 @ 3.33
Lost
$-9.80
Nov 22, 18:30
Bari 1908 vs Frosinone
1 @ 3.50
Lost
$-9.70
Nov 22, 14:00
Virtus Entella vs Palermo
1 @ 2.95
Lost
$-9.61
Nov 22, 15:00
Queens Park Rangers vs Hull City
2 @ 4.00
Lost
$-9.51
Nov 22, 13:00
Deportivo Alavés vs Celta de Vigo
2 @ 3.00
Won
+$18.82
Nov 22, 12:30
Charlton Athletic vs Southampton
1 @ 2.98
Lost
$-9.32
Nov 22, 14:00
Avellino vs Empoli
1 @ 2.55
Lost
$-9.23
Nov 21, 18:00
Silkeborg IF vs AGF
X @ 3.92
Lost
$-10.00