Werder Bremen hosted Borussia Mönchengladbach at Wohninvest Weserstadion on 31 January (14:30 CET). The model sees value in Away win, pricing it 5.4 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 2 @ 3.40.
The model assigns an away win a 34.8% chance, while the market implies only 29.4%.
Relegation Zone: Werder Bremen in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Rotation Risk: Werder Bremen has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Must Win: Werder Bremen in position 16 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation
Streak Watch: Werder Bremen without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results
Top Scorer Boost: Borussia Mönchengladbach has Haris Tabakovic ranked #5 in league scoring (9 goals) - strong attacking threat
Bookmaker Disagreement: Bookmakers disagree on draw: 2.30 (bwin) to 3.62 (Pinnacle) - 15.9% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com