Germany
Statistics based on 5 recent seasons
Bundesliga stays in focus when market prices diverge from our probability estimates in a repeatable way. Across 26 graded bets, the current hit rate is 34.6% with -19.5% ROI, while Home win has been the most active market type. This is context, not certainty: individual fixtures still depend on price quality close to kickoff.
| Market | Settled | Hit Rate | ROI | Avg Edge | Avg Odds | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 12 | 63.6% | +44.8% | 8.17% | 2.64 | +$67.14 |
| Away win | 10 | 22.2% | -44.1% | 8.61% | 3.22 | $-55.72 |
| Draw | 4 | 0.0% | -100.0% | 6.27% | 3.83 | $-55.76 |
| BTTS Yes | 2 | 0.0% | -100.0% | 5.93% | 2.15 | $-25.09 |
| Month | Settled | Hit Rate | ROI | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2025 | 3 | 0.0% | -100.0% | $-29.35 |
| Dec 2025 | 4 | 75.0% | +140.2% | +$60.26 |
| Jan 2026 | 14 | 16.7% | -65.6% | $-119.73 |
| Feb 2026 | 7 | 57.1% | +19.0% | +$19.39 |
Current league table
| POS | TEAM | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
FCB
FC Bayern München
|
23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 85 | 21 | +64 | 60 |
|
2
|
BVB
Borussia Dortmund
|
23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 49 | 22 | +27 | 52 |
|
3
|
TSG
TSG Hoffenheim
|
23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 30 | +19 | 46 |
|
4
|
VFB
VfB Stuttgart
|
23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 32 | +12 | 43 |
|
5
|
RBL
RB Leipzig
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 32 | +12 | 41 |
|
6
|
B04
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
|
22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 28 | +15 | 39 |
|
7
|
SCF
SC Freiburg
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 33 |
|
8
|
SGE
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 31 |
|
9
|
FCU
FC Union Berlin
|
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 28 |
|
10
|
FCA
FC Augsburg
|
23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 28 |
|
11
|
HSV
Hamburger SV
|
22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 26 |
|
12
|
KOE
FC Köln
|
23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 24 |
|
13
|
M05
FSV Mainz 05
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 22 |
|
14
|
BMG
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 22 |
|
15
|
WOB
VfL Wolfsburg
|
23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 20 |
|
16
|
PAU
St. Pauli
|
23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
|
17
|
SVW
Werder Bremen
|
23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 19 |
|
18
|
HDH
Heidenheim
|
23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 51 | -29 | 14 |
These statistics provide context for betting decisions in Bundesliga. Predictability scores measure how reliably outcomes can be forecast, while historical percentages reveal league-specific tendencies.
All percentages are calculated from recent completed seasons. Averages may shift as new data becomes available.