Bundesliga

Germany

Statistics based on 2 recent seasons

Why we bet on this league

Bundesliga stays in focus when market prices diverge from our probability estimates in a repeatable way. Across 30 graded bets, the current hit rate is 30.0% with -30.4% ROI, while Home win has been the most active market type. This is context, not certainty: individual fixtures still depend on price quality close to kickoff.

Browse tracked picks

Edge patterns

Market	Settled	Hit Rate	ROI	Avg Edge	Avg Odds	Profit
Home win	16	46.7%	+5.2%	8.38%	2.71	+$10.76
Away win	10	22.2%	-44.1%	8.61%	3.22	$-55.72
Draw	4	0.0%	-100.0%	6.27%	3.83	$-55.76
BTTS Yes	2	0.0%	-100.0%	5.93%	2.15	$-25.09

Historical ROI

Month	Settled	Hit Rate	ROI	Profit
Nov 2025	3	0.0%	-100.0%	$-29.35
Dec 2025	4	75.0%	+140.2%	+$60.26
Jan 2026	13	16.7%	-65.6%	$-119.73
Feb 2026	8	50.0%	+4.0%	+$4.63
Mar 2026	4	0.0%	-100.0%	$-41.62

Home Win

45.1 %

Home advantage

Draw

26.8%

Stalemates

Away Win

28.1 %

Against the odds

Over 2.5

61.4 %

High-scoring

Goals Per Match

3.2

Attacking patterns

BTTS

60.1%

Both teams score

Clean Sheets

39.9 %

Shut outs

Scoring Minutes

No data available

Cards

—

Yellows per match

Predictability

55.1%

Pattern confidence

Blanks

22.2 %

Failed to score

Corners

—

Per match

These statistics provide context for betting decisions in Bundesliga. Predictability scores measure how reliably outcomes can be forecast, while historical percentages reveal league-specific tendencies.

All percentages are calculated from recent completed seasons. Averages may shift as new data becomes available.