Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Saturday, 17 January | 14:30 CET | PreZero Arena
Final: 1-0

TSG Hoffenheim hosted Bayer 04 Leverkusen at PreZero Arena on 17 January (14:30 CET). The model prices this outcome 7.50% higher than the market. We backed 2 @ 3.00.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns an away win a 38.2% chance, compared to the market's 33.3%.

Lost

The Position

2 @ 3.00
Away win
Stake
$14.58
Book
1xbet
Placed
17 Jan, 08:58
Result
-$14.58
Model
38.2%
Market
33.3%
Edge
7.5%
Confidence
73%
CLV
+2.4%
Closing
2.93

Match Context

European Race: TSG Hoffenheim in position 3 - competing for European qualification

European Race: Bayer 04 Leverkusen in position 6 - competing for European qualification

Rotation Risk: Bayer 04 Leverkusen has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Away Specialist: Bayer 04 Leverkusen exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at

justfootballpredictions.com