Bundesliga

St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV

Friday, 23 January | 19:30 CET | Millerntor-Stadion
Final: 0-0

St. Pauli hosted Hamburger SV at Millerntor-Stadion on 23 January (19:30 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 7.6 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 3.04.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 40.5% chance, while the market implies only 32.9%. This is a higher-confidence selection.

Lost

The Position

1 @ 3.04
Home win
Stake
$16.06
Book
Pinnacle
Placed
23 Jan, 13:03
Result
-$16.06
Model
40.6%
Market
32.9%
Edge
7.6%
Confidence
69%
CLV
+3.8%
Closing
2.93

Match Context

Relegation Zone: St. Pauli in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

Must Win: St. Pauli in position 16 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

Streak Watch: Hamburger SV without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results

Away Struggles: Hamburger SV winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record

Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at

justfootballpredictions.com