SC Freiburg hosted Werder Bremen at Europa-Park Stadion today (14:30 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 12 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 2.05.
The model assigns a home win a 60.7% chance, while the market implies only 48.8%.
Relegation Zone: Werder Bremen in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Must Win: Werder Bremen in position 16 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation
Streak Watch: Werder Bremen without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results
Home Fortress: SC Freiburg unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (7 wins, 1 draws) - strong home advantage
Away Struggles: Werder Bremen winless in last 8 away matches (3 draws, 5 losses) - poor away record
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com