Serie A

Roma vs Juventus

Sunday, 1 March | 19:45 CET | Stadio Olimpico
Final: 3-3

Roma hosted Juventus at Stadio Olimpico today (19:45 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 12 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 2.73.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 50.2% chance, while the market implies only 36.6%.

Lost

The Position

1 @ 2.73
Home win
Stake
$13.83
Book
1xbet
Placed
1 Mar, 18:01
Result
-$13.83
Model
49.3%
Market
36.6%
Edge
12.0%
Confidence
55%
CLV
+0.7%
Closing
2.71

Match Context

European Race: Juventus in position 6 - competing for Conference League qualification

High Scoring Pattern: Juventus involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Btts Tendency: Juventus matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Leaky Defense: Juventus has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Top Scorer Boost: Juventus has Kenan Yıldız ranked #6 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

More context and tracked performance details are available at

thebettingscout.com