Serie A

Italy

Statistics based on 2 recent seasons

Why we bet on this league

Serie A stays in focus when market prices diverge from our probability estimates in a repeatable way. Across 21 graded bets, the current hit rate is 38.1% with 0.3% ROI, while Home win has been the most active market type. This is context, not certainty: individual fixtures still depend on price quality close to kickoff.

Browse tracked picks

Edge patterns

Market	Settled	Hit Rate	ROI	Avg Edge	Avg Odds	Profit
Home win	9	33.3%	-22.6%	9.59%	2.98	$-28.64
Away win	9	44.4%	+25.0%	7.10%	2.98	+$33.41
BTTS Yes	3	33.3%	-10.0%	6.73%	2.37	$-4.01

Historical ROI

Month	Settled	Hit Rate	ROI	Profit
Jan 2026	6	66.7%	+61.2%	+$54.22
Feb 2026	11	36.4%	-1.2%	$-1.99
Mar 2026	3	0.0%	-100.0%	$-39.95
Apr 2026	1	0.0%	-100.0%	$-11.52

Home Win

40.4 %

Home advantage

Draw

23.4%

Stalemates

Away Win

36.2 %

Against the odds

Over 2.5

50.4 %

High-scoring

Goals Per Match

2.6

Attacking patterns

BTTS

47.5%

Both teams score

Clean Sheets

52.5 %

Shut outs

Scoring Minutes

No data available

Cards

—

Yellows per match

Predictability

53.0%

Pattern confidence

Blanks

29.4 %

Failed to score

Corners

—

Per match

These statistics provide context for betting decisions in Serie A. Predictability scores measure how reliably outcomes can be forecast, while historical percentages reveal league-specific tendencies.

All percentages are calculated from recent completed seasons. Averages may shift as new data becomes available.