Italy
Statistics based on 2 recent seasons
Serie A stays in focus when market prices diverge from our probability estimates in a repeatable way. Across 20 graded bets, the current hit rate is 40.0% with 4.2% ROI, while Away win has been the most active market type. This is context, not certainty: individual fixtures still depend on price quality close to kickoff.
| Market | Settled | Hit Rate | ROI | Avg Edge | Avg Odds | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win | 9 | 44.4% | +25.0% | 7.10% | 2.98 | +$33.41 |
| Home win | 8 | 37.5% | -14.8% | 9.93% | 2.92 | $-17.12 |
| BTTS Yes | 3 | 33.3% | -10.0% | 6.73% | 2.37 | $-4.01 |
| Month | Settled | Hit Rate | ROI | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2026 | 6 | 66.7% | +61.2% | +$54.22 |
| Feb 2026 | 11 | 36.4% | -1.2% | $-1.99 |
| Mar 2026 | 3 | 0.0% | -100.0% | $-39.95 |
These statistics provide context for betting decisions in Serie A. Predictability scores measure how reliably outcomes can be forecast, while historical percentages reveal league-specific tendencies.
All percentages are calculated from recent completed seasons. Averages may shift as new data becomes available.