Ligue 1

Olympique Marseille vs Lens

Saturday, 24 January | 20:05 CET | Stade Vélodrome
Final: 3-1

Olympique Marseille hosted Lens at Stade Vélodrome on 24 January (20:05 CET). The model sees value in Away win, pricing it 12.2 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 2 @ 3.82.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns an away win a 38.4% chance, while the market implies only 26.2%. A moderate-confidence position.

Lost

The Position

2 @ 3.82
Away win
Stake
$16.26
Book
1xbet
Placed
24 Jan, 08:01
Result
-$16.26
Model
38.5%
Market
26.2%
Edge
12.2%
Confidence
66%
CLV
+8.8%
Closing
3.51

Match Context

Title Race: Lens in position 2, 2 points behind leader - competing for title

European Race: Olympique Marseille in position 3 - competing for European qualification

Rotation Risk: Olympique Marseille has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Streak Watch: Lens on 5-game winning streak - exceptional form

Away Specialist: Lens exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at

justfootballpredictions.com