Metz hosted Auxerre at Stade Saint-Symphorien on 15 February (16:15 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 8.4 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 3.20.
The model assigns a home win a 39.7% chance, while the market implies only 31.3%.
Relegation Zone: Metz in position 18 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Relegation Zone: Auxerre in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Must Win: Metz in position 18 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation
Streak Watch: Metz without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results
Btts Tendency: Metz matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Top Scorer Boost: Auxerre has Lassine Sinayoko ranked #10 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com