Fiorentina hosted AC Milan on 11 January (14:00 CET). The model prices this outcome 7.40% higher than the market. We backed 1 @ 3.72.
The model assigns a home win a 34.3% chance, compared to the market's 26.9%.
Title Race: AC Milan in position 2, 3 points behind leader - competing for title
Relegation Zone: Fiorentina in position 20 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
European Race: AC Milan in position 2 - competing for European qualification
Rotation Risk: Fiorentina has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Must Win: Fiorentina in position 20 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
Streak Watch: AC Milan unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com