FC Köln hosted TSG Hoffenheim at RheinEnergieStadion on 21 February (14:30 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 8.9 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 3.50.
The model assigns a home win a 39.2% chance, while the market implies only 28.6%.
Btts Tendency: FC Köln matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes
Top Scorer Boost: TSG Hoffenheim has Andrej Kramaric ranked #7 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat
Bookmaker Disagreement: Bookmakers disagree on home win: 1.70 (HKJC) to 3.60 (188Bet) - 31.0% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
Bookmaker Disagreement: Bookmakers disagree on away win: 2.00 (188Bet) to 4.21 (CloudBet) - 26.2% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com