FC Köln hosted FSV Mainz 05 at RheinEnergieStadion on 17 January (14:30 CET). The model prices this outcome 6.80% higher than the market. We backed X @ 3.80.
The model assigns a draw a 30.5% chance, compared to the market's 26.3%.
Relegation Zone: FSV Mainz 05 in position 17 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
Rotation Risk: FSV Mainz 05 has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Must Win: FSV Mainz 05 in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
Away Struggles: FSV Mainz 05 winless in last 8 away matches (3 draws, 5 losses) - poor away record
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com