Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Chelsea

Sunday, 25 January | 14:00 CET | Selhurst Park
Final: 1-3

Crystal Palace hosted Chelsea at Selhurst Park on 25 January (14:00 CET). The model sees value in Away win, pricing it 8.5 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 2 @ 2.12.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns an away win a 55.6% chance, while the market implies only 47.2%.

Won

The Position

2 @ 2.12
Away win
Stake
$14.85
Book
1xbet
Placed
25 Jan, 08:01
Result
+$16.63
Model
55.6%
Market
47.2%
Edge
8.5%
Confidence
55%
CLV
-4.9%
Closing
2.23

Match Context

European Race: Chelsea in position 5 - competing for Europa League qualification

Rotation Risk: Chelsea has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Streak Watch: Crystal Palace without a win in 5 games (1 draws, 4 losses) - struggling for results

Btts Tendency: Chelsea matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Top Scorer Boost: Chelsea has João Pedro ranked #6 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at

justfootballpredictions.com