Premier League

England

Statistics based on 5 recent seasons

Why we bet on this league

Premier League stays in focus when market prices diverge from our probability estimates in a repeatable way. Across 27 graded bets, the current hit rate is 63.0% with 70.1% ROI, while Away win has been the most active market type. This is context, not certainty: individual fixtures still depend on price quality close to kickoff.

Match-level depth on Just Football Predictions

Edge patterns

Market	Settled	Hit Rate	ROI	Avg Edge	Avg Odds	Profit
Away win	15	66.7%	+82.3%	8.11%	2.96	+$157.35
Home win	11	54.5%	+50.1%	10.05%	2.93	+$67.81
BTTS Yes	1	100.0%	+108.0%	7.43%	2.08	+$11.03

Historical ROI

Month	Settled	Hit Rate	ROI	Profit
Nov 2025	5	60.0%	+71.1%	+$35.17
Dec 2025	14	85.7%	+150.2%	+$251.38
Jan 2026	8	25.0%	-42.0%	$-50.36

Home Win

41.3 %

Home advantage

Draw

22.8%

Stalemates

Away Win

35.9 %

Against the odds

Over 2.5

55.6 %

High-scoring

Goals Per Match

2.9

Attacking patterns

BTTS

53.9%

Both teams score

Clean Sheets

5.4 %

Shut outs

Scoring Minutes

0-15'

13.4%

15-30'

14.5%

30-45'

17.4%

45-60'

15.8%

60-75'

16.6%

75-90'

22.2%

Cards

3.8

+0.1 red

Predictability

45.1%

Pattern confidence

Blanks

5.4 %

Failed to score

Corners

10.3

Per match

Live Standings

Current league table

POS	TEAM	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
1	ARS Arsenal	28	18	7	3	56	21	+35	61
2	MCI Manchester City	27	17	5	5	56	25	+31	56
3	AVL Aston Villa	27	15	6	6	38	28	+10	51
4	CHE Chelsea	27	12	9	6	48	31	+17	45
5	MUN Manchester United	26	12	9	5	47	37	+10	45
6	LIV Liverpool	27	13	6	8	42	35	+7	45
7	BRE Brentford	27	12	4	11	40	37	+3	40
8	BOU AFC Bournemouth	27	9	11	7	43	45	-2	38
9	EVE Everton	26	10	7	9	29	30	-1	37
10	FUL Fulham	27	11	4	12	38	41	-3	37
11	NEW Newcastle United	27	10	6	11	38	39	-1	36
12	SUN Sunderland	27	9	9	9	28	33	-5	36
13	CRY Crystal Palace	27	9	8	10	29	32	-3	35
14	BHA Brighton & Hove Albion	27	8	10	9	36	34	+2	34
15	LEE Leeds United	27	7	10	10	37	46	-9	31
16	TOT Tottenham Hotspur	27	7	8	12	37	41	-4	29
17	NFO Nottingham Forest	27	7	6	14	25	39	-14	27
18	WHU West Ham United	27	6	7	14	32	49	-17	25
19	BUR Burnley	27	4	7	16	29	52	-23	19
20	WOL Wolverhampton Wanderers	28	1	7	20	18	51	-33	10

UEFA Champions League

UEFA Europa League

Relegation

These statistics provide context for betting decisions in Premier League. Predictability scores measure how reliably outcomes can be forecast, while historical percentages reveal league-specific tendencies.

All percentages are calculated from recent completed seasons. Averages may shift as new data becomes available.