Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth

Monday, 19 January | 20:00 CET | The American Express Community Stadium
Final: 1-1

Brighton & Hove Albion hosted AFC Bournemouth at The American Express Community Stadium yesterday (20:00 CET). The model prices this outcome 6.90% higher than the market. We backed 1 @ 1.93.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 58.7% chance, compared to the market's 51.8%.

Lost

The Position

1 @ 1.93
Home win
Stake
$15.31
Book
Dafabet
Placed
19 Jan, 08:01
Result
-$15.31
Model
58.7%
Market
51.8%
Edge
6.9%
Confidence
59%
CLV
-5.9%
Closing
2.05

Match Context

Away Struggles: AFC Bournemouth winless in last 8 away matches (4 draws, 4 losses) - poor away record

Market Disagreement: Model sees 42.1% BTTS vs 68.5% market consensus - lower probability, 26.4% gap

Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at

justfootballpredictions.com