Bayer 04 Leverkusen hosted FSV Mainz 05 at BayArena today (14:30 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 10.4 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 1.77.
The model assigns a home win a 68.6% chance, while the market implies only 56.5%.
European Race: Bayer 04 Leverkusen in position 6 - competing for Conference League qualification
Rotation Risk: Bayer 04 Leverkusen has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Btts Tendency: FSV Mainz 05 matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Top Scorer Boost: FSV Mainz 05 has Nadiem Amiri ranked #9 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat
More context and tracked performance details are available at
thebettingscout.com