Lecce vs Parma

Full Time
Serie A
Lecce

Lecce

1
-
2
Parma

Parma

Match Predictions

Home Win
32.4%
64% confidence
Draw
29.9%
64% confidence
Away Win
37.7%
64% confidence
Both Teams Score
39.1%
59% confidence

Match Odds

Home Win
2.71
36.9% implied
Best: 2.82 @ 1xbet
Draw
2.91
34.4% implied
Best: 3.02 @ 1xbet
Away Win
2.90
34.5% implied
Best: 3.04 @ 1xbet
Both Teams Score
2.07
48.3% implied
Best: 2.16 @ Pinnacle
BTTS No
1.71
58.5% implied
Best: 1.75 @ WilliamHill

Key insights

Relegation Zone

Lecce

Lecce in position 16 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Parma

Parma has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Lecce

Lecce in position 16 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Recent Form

Lecce, Parma face-off in lower-half clash.

Lecce vs. Parma kicks off at 11:30 [GMT] on Sunday, January 11, at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare.

Lecce

With just one point separating the two sides, this encounter could prove pivotal in shaping their respective seasons as both look to create breathing space above the relegation zone. Lecce come into the match sitting 16th with 17 points and under growing pressure.

Recent form has been inconsistent, with half of their last six matches ending in defeat. That inconsistency has been particularly evident at home, where Lecce have struggled badly for results and goals.

They have won only three of their last 21 home league games, a worrying return that highlights their difficulty in turning home advantage into points. Even more concerning is their attacking output at Via del Mare, where they average just 0.60 goals per home Serie A match, one of the lowest figures in the division.

Having suffered a 2-0 midweek defeat to Roma, Lecce will be looking to put an end to a three-game winless run in Serie A [LWLDL]. A 4—3—3 formation with Sottil, Camarda and Banda in attack is expected from Lecce.

Parma

Parma, sitting just above Lecce in 15th on 18 points, have endured a challenging run but arrive with a touch more stability.

They have lost three of their last six, mirroring Lecce’s struggles, yet the fixture’s historical record offers encouragement.

In recent Serie A meetings, Lecce have lost three of the last six clashes with Parma, and the visitors have traditionally travelled well to Via del Mare.

Parma are unbeaten in their last nine away Serie A matches against Lecce, a run that gives them a psychological edge heading into this contest.

That said, Parma’s overall away form remains a concern, with just three wins in their last 20 away Serie A games.

However, their visits to Lecce tend to produce open games, and both teams have scored in Parma’s last nine away league encounters with Lecce.

From a tactical perspective, Lecce are likely to approach the game cautiously, knowing their defensive resilience will be key to halting Parma’s positive run in this matchup.

Parma, meanwhile, may look to play with greater freedom, aware that Lecce’s home struggles and low scoring rate could allow them to dictate large periods of the match.

A 4-3-3 formation, as seen in the 2-0 loss to Inter, is expected from the newly promoted side.

Gaetano Oristanio, Jacob Ondrejkaa, and Mateo Pellegrino could form the attacking trio.

League Position

Lecce vs Parma

POS TEAM P W D L GD PTS
14
Lecce LEC
19 5 5 9 -12 20
16
Parma PRM
19 4 6 9 -10 18

Serie A Identity

Statistical markers from past 5 seasons

Home Win
39.1%
Home advantage
Draw
27.1%
Stalemates
Away Win
33.8%
Against the odds
Over 2.5
51%
High-scoring
Goals Per Match
2.7
Attacking patterns
BTTS
54.2%
Both teams score
Clean Sheets
6.4%
Shut outs
Scoring Minutes
0-15'
13%
15-30'
14%
30-45'
17%
45-60'
16.6%
60-75'
16.8%
75-90'
22.6%
Cards
4.5
+0.1 red
Predictability
49.5%
Pattern confidence
Blanks
6.3%
Failed to score
Corners
9.5
Per match