Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Full Time
Serie A
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1
-
1
AC Milan

AC Milan

Match Predictions

Home Win
34.3%
64% confidence
Draw
25.3%
66% confidence
Away Win
40.4%
66% confidence
Both Teams Score
49.3%
59% confidence

Match Odds

Home Win
3.50
28.6% implied
Best: 3.72 @ 1xbet
Draw
3.31
30.2% implied
Best: 3.48 @ 1xbet
Away Win
2.12
47.2% implied
Best: 2.18 @ Dafabet
Both Teams Score
1.73
57.8% implied
Best: 1.80 @ bet365
BTTS No
2.05
48.8% implied
Best: 2.18 @ 188Bet

Key insights

Title Race

AC Milan

AC Milan in position 2, 3 points behind leader - competing for title

High impact

Relegation Zone

Fiorentina

Fiorentina in position 20 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

European Race

AC Milan

AC Milan in position 2 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Fiorentina

Fiorentina has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Must Win

Fiorentina

Fiorentina in position 20 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Streak Watch

AC Milan

AC Milan unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Match Normality

75%

Minor irregularities detected

Recent Form

AC Milan face Fiorentina after midweek draw with Genoa.

Following a draw with Lazio in the midweek round of fixtures, Fiorentina take on AC Milan, hoping to bounce back to winning ways. Fiorentina vs. AC Milan kicks off at 14:00 [GMT] on Sunday, January 11, at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Fiorentina

Fiorentina [LWLWD] welcome AC Milan to the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A after their 2-2 draw with Lazio. The match pits two sides heading in very different directions.

The hosts are searching for consistency and momentum, but Fiorentina’s recent form has been a concern.

They have claimed three wins from their last six home fixtures across all competitions, but their broader Serie A record paints a tougher picture.

La Viola have won just two of their last 19 league games, a run that has stalled ambitions and left them vulnerable against top opposition.

Defensive fragility has been a recurring issue at the Franchi, where Fiorentina have conceded an average of 1.56 goals per home match in Serie A.

That lack of solidity has contributed to open, high-scoring games, with over 2.5 goals landing in four of their last six league fixtures.

Against Milan, Fiorentina’s recent history offers little reassurance, as they have lost half of their last six meetings with the Rossoneri.

A 4—3—3 formation with Albert Guðmundsson, Roberto Piccoli, and Fabiano Parisi may be seen against Milan.

AC Milan

In football terms, Milan slipped into 3rd place after a 1-1 midweek draw with Genoa. A quick return to winning ways will be a priority as they head to Florence.

Milan have consistently found a way through regardless of venue. They have scored in 14 consecutive Serie A matches against Fiorentina.

They are currently undefeated in their last 17 Serie A matches, a remarkable run that highlights both their resilience and title credentials. Away from home, Allegri’s side have been particularly reliable, avoiding defeat in 11 of their last 12 away league games.

Their ability to manage hostile environments has been further underlined by three consecutive away wins in Serie A, showing a blend of composure and cutting edge.

Historically, trips to Florence have not been short of drama for Milan, but the patterns remain encouraging from their perspective. The pattern of recent results adds confidence.

Each of their last five away Serie A matches against Fiorentina has produced over 2.5 goals, suggesting entertainment is likely once again. With Milan consistently scoring and Fiorentina often conceding at home, the tactical balance appears tilted towards the visitors, particularly if the game opens up early.

A 3—5—2 formation with Rafael Leão and Pulisic in attack is expected against Fiorentina.

League Position

Fiorentina vs AC Milan

POS TEAM P W D L GD PTS
2
AC Milan MIL
18 11 6 1 +15 39
20
Fiorentina FIO
19 2 7 10 -10 13

Serie A Identity

Statistical markers from past 5 seasons

Home Win
39.1%
Home advantage
Draw
27.1%
Stalemates
Away Win
33.8%
Against the odds
Over 2.5
51%
High-scoring
Goals Per Match
2.7
Attacking patterns
BTTS
54.2%
Both teams score
Clean Sheets
6.4%
Shut outs
Scoring Minutes
0-15'
13%
15-30'
14%
30-45'
17%
45-60'
16.6%
60-75'
16.8%
75-90'
22.6%
Cards
4.5
+0.1 red
Predictability
49.5%
Pattern confidence
Blanks
6.3%
Failed to score
Corners
9.5
Per match