Chelsea has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Pafos FC in position 26 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
Model sees 52.8% home win vs 86.2% market consensus - lower probability, 33.4% gap
Significant concerns
Chelsea
Chelsea vs Pafos FC
| POS | TEAM | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
CHE
Chelsea
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 10 |
| 26 |
PAF
Pafos FC
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
Statistical markers from past 5 seasons