1. HNL

Vukovar vs Rijeka

Sunday, 8 March | 16:45 CET | Stadion Gradski vrt
Final: 0-1

Vukovar hosted Rijeka at Stadion Gradski vrt yesterday (16:45 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 12.5 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 3.99.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 39.2% chance, while the market implies only 25.1%.

Lost

The Position

1 @ 3.99
Home win
Stake
$13.38
Book
CloudBet
Placed
8 Mar, 14:01
Result
-$13.38
Model
39.2%
Market
25.1%
Edge
12.5%
Confidence
52%
CLV
+10.8%
Closing
3.60

Match Context

Relegation Zone: Vukovar in position 10 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

European Race: Rijeka in position 3 - competing for Conference League qualification

Top Scorer Boost: Vukovar has Jakov Puljic ranked #4 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat

Top Scorer Boost: Rijeka has Toni Fruk ranked #5 in league scoring (9 goals) - strong attacking threat

More context and tracked performance details are available at

thebettingscout.com