1. HNL

Varaždin vs Gorica

Friday, 3 April | 16:15 CET | Stadion Anđelko Herjavec
Final: 1-1

Varaždin hosted Gorica at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec today (16:15 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 23.1 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 4.00.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 48.1% chance, while the market implies only 25%. A moderate-confidence position.

Cancelled

The Position

1 @ 4.00
Home win
Stake
$15.21
Book
Pinnacle
Placed
26 Jan, 12:55
Result
+$0.00
Model
33.8%
Market
25.0%
Edge
23.1%
Confidence
50%

Match Context

European Race: Varaždin in position 4 - competing for European qualification

Defensive Fortress: Gorica has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No

Top Scorer Boost: Varaždin has Ivan Mamut ranked #6 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

More context and tracked performance details are available at

thebettingscout.com