Primera Division

UCV Moquegua vs Cusco FC

Saturday, 21 March | 16:00 CET
Final: 1-2

UCV Moquegua hosted Cusco FC today (16:00 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 10.3 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 3.73.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 39.3% chance, while the market implies only 26.8%.

Lost

The Position

1 @ 3.73
Home win
Stake
$12.74
Book
Pinnacle
Placed
21 Mar, 14:02
Result
-$12.74
Model
39.3%
Market
26.8%
Edge
10.3%
Confidence
53%
CLV
-62.7%
Closing
10.00

Match Context

Relegation Zone: UCV Moquegua in position 14 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

Bookmaker Disagreement: Bookmakers disagree on home win: 2.70 (Coral) to 10.00 (Betfair) - 27.0% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

Bookmaker Disagreement: Bookmakers disagree on away win: 1.33 (Betfair) to 2.63 (1xbet) - 37.2% probability spread indicates market uncertainty

More context and tracked performance details are available at

thebettingscout.com