Europa League

SC Freiburg vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Thursday, 22 January | 17:45 CET | Europa-Park Stadion
Final: 1-0

SC Freiburg hosted Maccabi Tel Aviv at Europa-Park Stadion on 22 January (17:45 CET). The model sees value in Both teams to score - Yes, pricing it 6.1 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed BTTS Yes @ 2.45.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns both teams scoring a 46.9% chance, while the market implies only 40.8%.

Lost

The Position

BTTS Yes @ 2.45
Both teams to score - Yes
Stake
$15.12
Book
188Bet
Placed
22 Jan, 08:03
Result
-$15.12
Model
46.9%
Market
40.8%
Edge
6.1%
Confidence
58%
CLV
+0.0%

Match Context

Title Race: SC Freiburg in position 3, 1 point behind leader - competing for title

Relegation Zone: Maccabi Tel Aviv in position 36 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

European Race: SC Freiburg in position 3 - competing for European qualification

Must Win: Maccabi Tel Aviv in position 36 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

Streak Watch: Maccabi Tel Aviv on 5-game losing streak - crisis form

Home Fortress: SC Freiburg unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (6 wins, 2 draws) - strong home advantage

Market Disagreement: Model sees 45.7% home win vs 80.6% market consensus - lower probability, 34.9% gap

Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at

justfootballpredictions.com