La Liga

Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo

Sunday, 25 January | 17:30 CET | Anoeta Stadium
Final: 3-1

Real Sociedad hosted Celta de Vigo at Anoeta Stadium on 25 January (17:30 CET). The model sees value in Away win, pricing it 6.9 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 2 @ 3.80.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns an away win a 33.2% chance, while the market implies only 26.3%. A moderate-confidence position.

Lost

The Position

2 @ 3.80
Away win
Stake
$15.00
Book
Unibet
Placed
25 Jan, 08:01
Result
-$15.00
Model
31.5%
Market
26.3%
Edge
6.9%
Confidence
66%
CLV
+2.7%
Closing
3.70

Match Context

European Race: Real Sociedad in position 8 - competing for Conference League qualification

Rotation Risk: Celta de Vigo has 5 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Streak Watch: Real Sociedad unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Btts Tendency: Real Sociedad matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 8 of last 8 matches (100%) - favors BTTS Yes

Leaky Defense: Real Sociedad has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Top Scorer Boost: Real Sociedad has Mikel Oyarzabal ranked #9 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat

Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at

justfootballpredictions.com