La Liga

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

Saturday, 28 February | 13:00 CET | Estadio de Vallecas
Final: 1-1

Rayo Vallecano hosted Athletic Club at Estadio de Vallecas today (13:00 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 5.4 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 2.58.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 45.4% chance, while the market implies only 38.8%.

Lost

The Position

1 @ 2.58
Home win
Stake
$14.61
Book
1xbet
Placed
28 Feb, 08:03
Result
-$14.61
Model
44.6%
Market
38.8%
Edge
5.4%
Confidence
52%
CLV
-6.5%
Closing
2.76

Match Context

European Race: Athletic Club in position 7 - competing for Europa League qualification

Btts Tendency: Athletic Club matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 7 of last 8 matches (88%) - favors BTTS Yes

Leaky Defense: Athletic Club has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

More context and tracked performance details are available at

thebettingscout.com