Champions League

Qarabağ vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Wednesday, 21 January | 17:45 CET | Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))
Final: 3-2

Qarabağ hosted Eintracht Frankfurt at Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku)) on 21 January (17:45 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 17.3 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 3.25.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 48% chance, while the market implies only 30.8%. A moderate-confidence position.

Won

The Position

1 @ 3.25
Home win
Stake
$15.86
Book
Betsson
Placed
21 Jan, 08:02
Result
+$35.69
Model
48.0%
Market
30.8%
Edge
17.3%
Confidence
71%
CLV
-9.7%
Closing
3.60

Match Context

Relegation Zone: Eintracht Frankfurt in position 33 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

Must Win: Qarabağ in position 25 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

Must Win: Eintracht Frankfurt in position 33 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

Streak Watch: Eintracht Frankfurt without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results

High Scoring Pattern: Qarabağ involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5

Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at

justfootballpredictions.com