Olympique Marseille hosted Liverpool at Stade Vélodrome on 21 January (20:00 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 14.7 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 3.92.
The model assigns a home win a 40.2% chance, while the market implies only 25.5%. A moderate-confidence position.
European Race: Liverpool in position 4 - competing for European qualification
Rotation Risk: Olympique Marseille has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Rotation Risk: Liverpool has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Must Win: Olympique Marseille in position 19 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
Streak Watch: Liverpool unbeaten in 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws) - solid defensive form
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com