Motherwell hosted Rangers at Fir Park today (20:00 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 15.7 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 3.30.
The model assigns a home win a 46% chance, while the market implies only 30.3%.
Title Race: Rangers in position 2, 5 points behind leader - competing for title
Streak Watch: Motherwell unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form
Home Fortress: Motherwell unbeaten at home in last 8 matches (6 wins, 2 draws) - strong home advantage
Defensive Fortress: Motherwell has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No
Defensive Fortress: Rangers has excellent defensive record: 5 clean sheets in last 8 matches (62%) - favors Under/BTTS No
Top Scorer Boost: Motherwell has Tawanda Maswanhise ranked #1 in league scoring (13 goals) - strong attacking threat
Top Scorer Boost: Rangers has James Tavernier ranked #8 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat
Bookmaker Disagreement: Bookmakers disagree on home win: 2.68 (Sbo) to 6.25 (MelBet) - 21.3% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
Bookmaker Disagreement: Bookmakers disagree on away win: 1.43 (bwin) to 2.45 (Pinnacle) - 29.1% probability spread indicates market uncertainty
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com