Champions League

Galatasaray vs Atlético Madrid

Wednesday, 21 January | 17:45 CET | RAMS Park
Final: 1-1

Galatasaray hosted Atlético Madrid at RAMS Park on 21 January (17:45 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 11.8 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 3.35.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 41.6% chance, while the market implies only 29.9%. A moderate-confidence position.

Lost

The Position

1 @ 3.35
Home win
Stake
$15.71
Book
Dafabet
Placed
21 Jan, 08:02
Result
-$15.71
Model
37.3%
Market
29.9%
Edge
11.8%
Confidence
74%
CLV
-2.9%
Closing
3.45

Match Context

Must Win: Galatasaray in position 18 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

Streak Watch: Atlético Madrid unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form

Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at

justfootballpredictions.com