Fenerbahçe hosted Aston Villa at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium on 22 January (17:45 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 8.9 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 2.60.
The model assigns a home win a 47.4% chance, while the market implies only 38.5%. A moderate-confidence position.
Title Race: Aston Villa leading the table - high motivation to maintain position
European Race: Aston Villa in position 2 - competing for European qualification
Must Win: Fenerbahçe in position 18 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
Away Specialist: Aston Villa exceptional away form: 6 wins in last 8 away matches (75% win rate)
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com