Primera Division

FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos

Friday, 13 March | 20:00 CET
Final: 3-4

FC Cajamarca hosted Comerciantes Unidos on 13 March (20:00 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 11 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 2.10.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 62.6% chance, while the market implies only 47.6%.

Lost

The Position

1 @ 2.10
Home win
Stake
$14.15
Book
Pinnacle
Placed
13 Mar, 18:01
Result
-$14.15
Model
62.6%
Market
47.6%
Edge
11.0%
Confidence
51%
CLV
+9.4%
Closing
1.92

Match Context

Relegation Zone: FC Cajamarca in position 15 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

European Race: Comerciantes Unidos in position 6 - competing for European qualification

Btts Tendency: Comerciantes Unidos matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Top Scorer Boost: FC Cajamarca has Hernán Barcos ranked #1 in league scoring (7 goals) - strong attacking threat

Position Favorite Mismatch: FC Cajamarca (position 15) is favorite despite being 9 places below Comerciantes Unidos (position 6) - potential upset or market overreaction

More context and tracked performance details are available at

thebettingscout.com