Derby County hosted West Bromwich Albion at Pride Park Stadium on 23 January (20:00 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 5.4 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 2.70.
The model assigns a home win a 42.4% chance, while the market implies only 37%.
Rotation Risk: Derby County has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Must Win: West Bromwich Albion in position 19 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
Streak Watch: West Bromwich Albion without a win in 5 games (2 draws, 3 losses) - struggling for results
Away Struggles: West Bromwich Albion winless in last 8 away matches (2 draws, 6 losses) - poor away record
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com