Serie A

Chapecoense vs Atlético Mineiro

Thursday, 2 April | 22:00 CET | Arena Condá
Final: 0-4

Chapecoense hosted Atlético Mineiro at Arena Condá on 2 April (22:00 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 7.7 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 3.30.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 40.1% chance, while the market implies only 30.3%.

Lost

The Position

1 @ 3.30
Home win
Stake
$11.99
Book
CloudBet
Placed
2 Apr, 18:00
Result
-$11.99
Model
40.1%
Market
30.3%
Edge
7.7%
Confidence
51%
CLV
-6.5%
Closing
3.53

Match Context

Must Win: Chapecoense in position 16 with poor recent form (7% points) - must-win situation

Streak Watch: Chapecoense without a win in 5 games (3 draws, 2 losses) - struggling for results

More context and tracked performance details are available at

thebettingscout.com