Ceuta hosted Córdoba at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube today (18:00 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 9.4 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 2.94.
The model assigns a home win a 45.4% chance, while the market implies only 34%.
European Race: Córdoba in position 7 - competing for European qualification
High Scoring Pattern: Ceuta involved in high-scoring games: 8 of last 10 matches had 3+ goals - favors Over 2.5
Btts Tendency: Ceuta matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Btts Tendency: Córdoba matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes
Leaky Defense: Ceuta has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals
Top Scorer Boost: Córdoba has Adrián Fuentes ranked #10 in league scoring (10 goals) - strong attacking threat
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com