Cesena hosted Bari 1908 at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi on 24 January (14:00 CET). The model sees value in Draw, pricing it 7.3 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed X @ 3.80.
The model assigns a draw a 33.6% chance, while the market implies only 26.3%. A moderate-confidence position.
Relegation Zone: Bari 1908 in position 17 (near relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop
European Race: Cesena in position 5 - competing for European qualification
Must Win: Bari 1908 in position 17 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation
Market Disagreement: Model sees 37.3% home win vs 61.0% market consensus - lower probability, 23.7% gap
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com