La Liga

Atlético Madrid vs Celta de Vigo

Saturday, 9 May | 16:30 CET | Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Final: 0-1

Atlético Madrid hosted Celta de Vigo at Riyadh Air Metropolitano today (16:30 CET). The model sees value in Home win, pricing it 7.7 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 1 @ 2.20.

The Scout's Take

The model assigns a home win a 54.6% chance, while the market implies only 45.5%.

Lost

The Position

1 @ 2.20
Home win
Stake
$10.74
Book
1xbet
Placed
9 May, 14:00
Result
-$10.74
Model
54.6%
Market
45.5%
Edge
7.7%
Confidence
53%
CLV
+15.8%
Closing
1.90

Match Context

European Race: Celta de Vigo in position 6 - competing for Conference League qualification

Btts Tendency: Atlético Madrid matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Btts Tendency: Celta de Vigo matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 6 of last 8 matches (75%) - favors BTTS Yes

Leaky Defense: Celta de Vigo has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals

Top Scorer Boost: Celta de Vigo has Borja Iglesias ranked #9 in league scoring (13 goals) - strong attacking threat

More context and tracked performance details are available at

thebettingscout.com