Athletic Club hosted Real Sociedad at San Mamés Barria on 1 February (20:00 CET). The model sees value in Away win, pricing it 11.2 percentage points higher than the market consensus. We backed 2 @ 3.61.
The model assigns an away win a 38.9% chance, while the market implies only 27.7%.
European Race: Real Sociedad in position 8 - competing for Conference League qualification
Rotation Risk: Athletic Club has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion
Streak Watch: Real Sociedad unbeaten in 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws) - solid defensive form
Btts Tendency: Athletic Club matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 8 of last 8 matches (100%) - favors BTTS Yes
Btts Tendency: Real Sociedad matches frequently see both teams score: BTTS in 8 of last 8 matches (100%) - favors BTTS Yes
Leaky Defense: Athletic Club has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals
Leaky Defense: Real Sociedad has poor defensive record: only 0 clean sheets in last 8 matches (0%) - favors BTTS Yes/opponent goals
Top Scorer Boost: Real Sociedad has Mikel Oyarzabal ranked #9 in league scoring (8 goals) - strong attacking threat
Position Favorite Mismatch: Athletic Club (position 14) is favorite despite being 6 places below Real Sociedad (position 8) - potential upset or market overreaction
Full fixture context and statistical breakdown available at
justfootballpredictions.com