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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Mechelen

Pro League
Union Saint-Gilloise

Union Saint-Gilloise

vs
Mechelen

Mechelen

Match Predictions

Home Win
54.9%
60% confidence
Draw
19.3%
60% confidence
Away Win
25.8%
60% confidence
Both Teams Score
50.1%
68% confidence

Match Odds

Home Win
1.31
76.3% implied
Best: 1.34 @ Dafabet
Draw
5.10
19.6% implied
Best: 5.50 @ bwin
Away Win
8.61
11.6% implied
Best: 9.75 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score
1.93
51.8% implied
Best: 1.99 @ 188Bet
BTTS No
1.78
56.2% implied
Best: 1.80 @ 188Bet

Key insights

Title Race

Union Saint-Gilloise

Union Saint-Gilloise leading the table - high motivation to maintain position

High impact

European Race

Mechelen

Mechelen in position 5 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 54.9% home win vs 76.3% market consensus - lower probability, 21.4% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

85%

Minor irregularities detected

Recent Form

Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise

26 Dec 2025 FT
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1
Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1
20 Dec 2025 FT
Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2
Zulte-Waregem Zulte-Waregem 0
14 Dec 2025 FT
Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1
Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1
09 Dec 2025 FT
Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2
Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille 3
06 Dec 2025 FT
Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1
Gent Gent 1

Mechelen Mechelen

27 Dec 2025 FT
Mechelen Mechelen 1
Dender Dender 1
21 Dec 2025 FT
Sint-Truiden Sint-Truiden 1
Mechelen Mechelen 0
13 Dec 2025 FT
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2
Mechelen Mechelen 3
07 Dec 2025 FT
Mechelen Mechelen 1
Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0
28 Nov 2025 FT
Mechelen Mechelen 0
Standard Liège Standard Liège 1

League Position

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Mechelen

POS TEAM P W D L GD PTS
1
Union Saint-Gilloise USG
20 12 6 2 +24 42
5
Mechelen MEC
20 8 7 5 +3 31

Pro League Identity

Statistical markers from past 5 seasons

Home Win
41.1%
Home advantage
Draw
24.6%
Stalemates
Away Win
34.4%
Against the odds
Over 2.5
56.3%
High-scoring
Goals Per Match
2.9
Attacking patterns
BTTS
55.9%
Both teams score
Clean Sheets
5.7%
Shut outs
Scoring Minutes
0-15'
12.4%
15-30'
13.5%
30-45'
18.3%
45-60'
15.8%
60-75'
16.2%
75-90'
23.8%
Cards
4.1
+0.1 red
Predictability
51.5%
Pattern confidence
Blanks
5.7%
Failed to score
Corners
9.5
Per match