St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig - Match Analysis & Prediction

Match Predictions

Home Win

32.8%

69% confidence

Draw

26.7%

69% confidence

Away Win

40.5%

69% confidence

Both Teams Score

51%

60% confidence

Match Odds

Home Win

3.91

25.6% implied

Best: 4.11 @ Pinnacle

Draw

3.64

27.5% implied

Best: 3.82 @ Marathonbet

Away Win

1.89

52.9% implied

Best: 1.97 @ 1xbet

Both Teams Score

1.68

59.5% implied

Best: 1.75 @ Pinnacle

BTTS No

2.13

46.9% implied

Best: 2.17 @ Unibet

Key insights

Relegation Zone

St. Pauli in position 16 (in relegation zone) - fighting to avoid drop

High impact

European Race

RB Leipzig in position 4 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Must Win

St. Pauli in position 16 with poor recent form (0% points) - must-win situation

High impact

Match Normality

100%

Normal match expected

Recent Form

St. Pauli

RB Leipzig

20 Dec 2025 FT

RB Leipzig 1

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3

Eintracht Frankfurt 0

28 Nov 2025 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach 0

League Position

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig

POS	TEAM	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
3	RBL RB Leipzig	15	9	2	4	30	19	+11	29
16	PAU St. Pauli	15	3	3	9	13	26	-13	12

Bundesliga Identity

Statistical markers from past 5 seasons

Home Win

41.6%

Home advantage

Draw

25.3%

Stalemates

Away Win

33.1%

Against the odds

Over 2.5

60%

High-scoring

Goals Per Match

3.1

Attacking patterns

BTTS

59.7%

Both teams score

Clean Sheets

5.5%

Shut outs

Scoring Minutes

0-15'

13.4%

15-30'

14.9%

30-45'

17.9%

45-60'

16.1%

60-75'

16.1%

75-90'

21.7%

Cards

3.9

+0.1 red

Predictability

49.4%

Pattern confidence

Blanks

5.5%

Failed to score

Corners

9.3

Per match