Manchester United vs Manchester City - Match Analysis & Prediction

Match Predictions

Home Win

29.3%

60% confidence

Draw

20.7%

62% confidence

Away Win

50.1%

62% confidence

Both Teams Score

47.4%

70% confidence

Match Odds

Home Win

3.47

28.8% implied

Best: 3.70 @ Unibet

Draw

3.87

25.8% implied

Best: 4.10 @ 188Bet

Away Win

1.96

51% implied

Best: 2.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score

1.45

69% implied

Best: 1.47 @ 188Bet

BTTS No

2.64

37.9% implied

Best: 2.79 @ Pinnacle

Key insights

Title Race

Manchester City in position 2, 6 points behind leader - competing for title

Medium impact

European Race

Manchester United in position 7 - competing for European qualification

Medium impact

Rotation Risk

Manchester City has 4 fixtures in 14-day window - rotation risk due to congestion

Medium impact

Streak Watch

Manchester City unbeaten in 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws) - solid defensive form

Medium impact

Away Specialist

Manchester City exceptional away form: 5 wins in last 8 away matches (62% win rate)

Medium impact

Market Disagreement

Model sees 47.4% BTTS vs 69.0% market consensus - lower probability, 21.5% gap

Medium impact

Match Normality

80%

Minor irregularities detected

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